Monday–Friday, August 10–14, 2026 — A Week That Broke July's High and Never Got It Back
Market Overview
I was travelling this week, so the Journal went dark instead of getting a recap each evening. Rather than skip the week entirely, here's the whole thing in one sitting — five sessions of order flow, told the way I'd normally tell it one day at a time, just compressed.
The headline: NIFTY opened the week at 24,581.25, ran a high of 24,620.95 early on, and spent the rest of the week grinding lower — a low of 24,265.95 before a partial recovery into Friday's close at 24,366.00. Net for the week: down 204.65 points, -0.83%. Not a crash, not a single dramatic session — just five days of a market that kept trying to hold ground and kept losing a little more of it each time.
The chart's own annotations tell the real story better than the candles do. Long Build Up shows up early in the week — genuine accumulation, the kind of setup that should have led somewhere. It didn't hold. Short Build Up shows up twice — once mid-week, once again heading into Friday — and each time it's what actually did the damage. In between, a Long Unwinding phase on Friday morning marked existing longs getting closed out rather than fresh selling, right before the week's second wave of short build-up took over and pushed price to its low.
Order Flow Analysis
Early week — Long Build Up that didn't survive contact with resistance
Monday and Tuesday opened with real accumulation — the chart's own "Long Build Up" label sits right at the top of the week's range, backed by genuinely large delta prints in the first sessions (+601, +523, +391 among the standout early bars). That buying pushed price toward the top of the week's eventual range, testing up near 24,650-24,700 — right into the R3/weekly-high zone. It didn't clear it with conviction. The first of three "X" marks on the chart lands almost exactly at that failed test, an exhaustion point where the week's early strength ran out of buyers willing to pay up further.
Mid-week — the first Short Build Up
Once that early high failed to hold, the character flipped. The chart flags a genuine "Short Build Up" phase taking over by midweek — fresh selling, not just profit-taking from the Monday/Tuesday longs. This is the stretch that took price down through the pivot zone (TC/PIVOT/BC clustered around 24,640-24,680) and into the lower half of the week's range for the first time. A second "X" mark lands here too, roughly where that selling wave found its first real pause — price didn't break down cleanly, it stalled.
Thursday into Friday morning — Long Unwinding
Heading into the back half of the week, the annotation shifts again: "Long Unwinding." This is a specific, different signal from outright selling — it means whatever longs had been re-established during the week's choppy middle stretch were being closed out into a soft tape, not aggressively sold into. That's a quieter, less dramatic phase, but it's the one that set up the week's final leg down, because it left very little buying support underneath price heading into Friday.
Friday — the second Short Build Up and the week's low
The week's final chapter repeats its own opening pattern in reverse. A second "Short Build Up" phase takes hold, fresh short positioning building right as the Long Unwinding above it finishes clearing out the last of the week's buying interest. A third "X" mark and a white down-arrow sit right at this transition — the exact point where the week's decline stopped being about longs leaving and started being about shorts pressing. That combination is what drove price to the week's low of 24,265.95. From there, a partial recovery into the close brought NIFTY back to 24,366.00 — down on the week, but well off the actual low.
Order flow footprint, NIFTY 2h — week of August 10-14, 2026.
Key Order Flow Takeaway
- Early-week "Long Build Up" produced real buying, but failed to clear the R3/weekly-high zone near 24,698.8 — the first sign the week would struggle rather than extend the prior week's strength.
- The first "Short Build Up" phase (mid-week) is what actually broke price out of the upper half of the week's range, pushing through the pivot cluster (24,640-24,680) for the first time.
- A "Long Unwinding" phase on Friday morning quietly removed the week's remaining buying support without a single dramatic sell print — the kind of setup that doesn't look dangerous in real time but leaves a market exposed.
- The second "Short Build Up", landing right as that unwinding finished, is what drove the week's actual low at 24,265.95 — fresh selling meeting a market with nothing left underneath it.
Market Profile Analysis
The week's profile tells a clean top-to-bottom story once you follow the reference levels across the five sessions. It opens carrying forward Thursday-the-week-before's structure near 24,743.5/24,730.8, builds a fresh developing zone Monday around 24,692.5/24,662.8, and by Thursday the reference has already dropped to a Poor High near 24,497 — over 200 points lower than where the week started, with almost no session in between managing to reclaim the earlier zone. Friday's own developing profile shows 24,437.5/24,399.3/24,369.5 as its high/POC/low bracket, sitting well below every other reference from earlier in the week.
That's the structural signature of the week in one sentence: every single day's value area printed lower than the one before it. No session this week built a profile that overlapped meaningfully with Monday's — which is a genuinely bearish structural read, independent of the day-to-day order flow story above it.
Market Profile (TPO), NIFTY 30m — week of August 10-14, 2026.
Structural Levels
- 24,698.8 — the week's high (wHigh), tagged early and never seriously threatened again; the level that needs reclaiming for the broader advance to resume.
- 24,620.95 — the week's opening-session high, a secondary reference just below the actual weekly high.
- 24,581.25 — the week's open; price spent almost the entire week below this level after the first session or two.
- 24,565.3 — July's old high, a level this portfolio's own history has flagged before as a meaningful pivot; it sat just above the week's lower structure most days, now acting as resistance rather than the support it was in early August.
- 24,366.00 — the week's close, recovered off the low but still down on the week.
- 24,363.2 / 24,265.95 — the week's low reference (wLow) and the actual session low tagged Friday; the level to watch first on any continuation lower.
Trading Implications
Reversal-of-the-reversal scenario: A session that reclaims 24,565.3 and holds above it, followed by a genuine push back through the 24,640-24,680 pivot cluster, would suggest this week's decline was a corrective pullback rather than the start of a deeper move — the kind of setup where the Long Unwinding phase turns out to have been the actual bottom-forming process, not the warning sign it looked like in real time.
Continuation-lower scenario: A session that fails to hold 24,363.2 and pushes toward fresh lows below 24,265.95 would confirm the week's structural read — every day printing a lower value area — is still playing out, with the next real reference sitting meaningfully below the current range.
Consolidation scenario: A session (or several) that simply holds between 24,265.95 and 24,565.3 without committing either direction would suggest the market wants to digest a genuinely rough week before deciding which of the above actually applies.
Conclusion
Five sessions, one direction, told in two matching phases: Long Build Up failing at resistance, then Short Build Up doing the real damage — twice, with a quiet Long Unwinding phase in between that did more to set up the week's low than any single aggressive sell print did. NIFTY opened the week at 24,581.25 and closed it at 24,366.00, and every day's market profile printed lower than the last. Whatever comes next has a clear job: either reclaim July's old high at 24,565.3 and prove this was a pullback, or confirm the week's structure and keep pressing toward fresh lows.
Related: this week follows Friday, August 7, which itself closed out a stretch of choppy, two-sided sessions — this week is the first genuinely one-directional stretch since then.
— Shak